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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

St. Louis

Conference:A10
Expected RPI:15.0
Current RPI:15
Expected SOS:38
Current Record:27-6
Expected Record:27-6
Current Conf Record:16-3
Expected Conf Record:16-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-1
Current OOC Record:11-3
Expected OOC Record:11-3
Expected OOC RPI:53
Expected OOC SOS:111


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
27-681.82%15.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Louis.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9South Carolina Upstate (225.0)ASunH76-59W100%0.0
11-14Santa Clara (101.0)WCCH62-74L0%0.0
11-19Texas A&M (102.0)SECN70-49W100%0.0
11-20Kansas (5.0)B12A73-59L0%0.0
11-24Southern Illinois (192.0)MVCH61-51W100%0.0
11-28Washington (88.0)P12A66-61L0%0.0
12-2Valparaiso (58.0)HorzH62-49W100%0.0
12-5North Texas (247.0)SBH67-63W100%0.0
12-15Tennessee Martin (312.0)OVCH73-51W100%0.0
12-19Eastern Illinois (276.0)OVCH72-45W100%0.0
12-22Loyola Marymount (211.0)WCCH65-44W100%0.0
12-28SIU Edwardsville (304.0)OVCH68-41W100%0.0
12-31New Mexico (2.0)MWCH60-46W100%0.0
1-4Savannah St. (166.0)MEACH67-59W100%0.0
1-10Massachusetts (57.0)A10H70-62W100%0.0
1-12Temple (42.0)A10A64-54L0%0.0
1-19Rhode Island (201.0)A10H80-82L0%0.0
1-23Duquesne (229.0)A10A64-73W100%0.0
1-26St. Bonaventure (139.0)A10A57-67W100%0.0
1-31Butler (22.0)A10H75-58W100%0.0
2-2Dayton (114.0)A10H81-52W100%0.0
2-6Fordham (228.0)A10A73-90W100%0.0
2-9Richmond (92.0)A10A46-56W100%0.0
2-16Charlotte (68.0)A10H76-58W100%0.0
2-19Virginia Commonwealth (24.0)A10H76-62W100%0.0
2-22Butler (22.0)A10A61-65W100%0.0
2-27Saint Joseph's (82.0)A10H70-53W100%0.0
3-2George Washington (147.0)A10A58-66W100%0.0
3-6Xavier (87.0)A10A77-66L0%0.0
3-9La Salle (46.0)A10H78-54W100%0.0
3-15Charlotte (68.0)A10N72-55W100%0.0
3-16Butler (22.0)A10N67-56W100%0.0
3-17Virginia Commonwealth (24.0)A10N62-56W100%0.0